Peggy Flanagan holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary due to her party endorsement secured at the state convention, consistent polling advantages that have widened to double digits in recent surveys among likely primary voters, and support from retiring incumbent Tina Smith. The race centers on ideological differences between the progressive lieutenant governor and more moderate U.S. Representative Angie Craig, with endorsements and media attention split along those lines. Craig maintains an edge in overall fundraising and cash on hand, yet this has not narrowed Flanagan’s polling margin in the final stretch. Minor candidates trail far behind in visibility and resources, leaving the outcome focused on turnout dynamics in tomorrow’s primary between the two frontrunners.