Oct 4, 2026
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See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours


Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?

Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?

Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?


Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?


Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

Spain snap election called in 2026?


Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?

Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flare?

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?

Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?


Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?

Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?

Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?


Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?


Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
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