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Jul 27, 2026

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See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?

Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?

94%
82%
2
icon for Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?

97%
80%
3
icon for Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

25%
53%
4
icon for US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?

95%
52%
5
icon for Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?

Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?

2%
43%
6
icon for Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?

16%
42%
7
icon for Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?

70%
42%
8
icon for Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?

Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?

74%
28%
9
icon for Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?

89%
26%
10
icon for Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

24%
22%
11
icon for Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

68%
21%
12
icon for Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

54%
20%
13
icon for Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

41%
17%
14
icon for Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

68%
16%
15
icon for Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

45%
16%
16
icon for Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?

87%
15%
17
icon for Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?

68%
13%
18
icon for Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?

48%
13%
19
icon for Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

63%
12%
20
icon for Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

65%
11%
21
icon for Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

26%
11%
22
icon for Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

63%
11%
23
icon for Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?

Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?

22%
10%
24
icon for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?

2%
8%
25
icon for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

55%
7%