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Oct 22, 2026

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See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

66%
52%
2
icon for Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

98%
52%
3
icon for Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?

45%
50%
4
icon for Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

99%
49%
5
icon for Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?

Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?

52%
41%
6
icon for Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?

28%
33%
7
icon for Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?

Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?

59%
29%
8
icon for Will Solana dip to $100 in October?

Will Solana dip to $100 in October?

69%
28%
9
icon for Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?

66%
25%
10
icon for Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?

3%
25%
11
icon for Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?

Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?

53%
23%
12
icon for Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?

Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?

9%
23%
13
icon for Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

69%
22%
14
icon for Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?

37%
22%
15
icon for Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

4%
21%
16
icon for Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

50%
20%
17
icon for Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?

Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?

46%
20%
18
icon for Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?

54%
19%
19
icon for Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?

Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?

19%
18%
20
icon for Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?

Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?

16%
16%
21
icon for Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?

57%
16%
22
icon for Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

87%
16%
23
icon for Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

52%
15%
24
icon for Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?

86%
13%
25
icon for Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?

Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?

29%
12%

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