Nov 10, 2026
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See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1

Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?
3%
70%
2

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
89%
55%
3

Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?
0%
50%
4

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
79%
48%
5

Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?
84%
44%
6

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
93%
44%
7

Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?
81%
37%
8


Will Cuffem lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?
34%
34%
9

Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
0%
31%
10

Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?
51%
29%
11

Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026?
92%
29%
12

Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
41%
29%
13

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?
8%
26%
14

Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
5%
24%
15

Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?
91%
22%
16

Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
35%
19%
17

Will Iran target an Arab country by November 15, 2026?
100%
18%
18

Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
40%
17%
19

Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
97%
16%
20

US imports Russian diesel by March 31?
15%
16%
21

Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
21%
16%
22

Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?
98%
15%
23

Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
54%
15%
24


Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
25%
14%
25

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
88%
12%