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Nov 10, 2026

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See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?

Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?

3%
70%
2
icon for Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

89%
55%
3
icon for Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?

Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?

0%
50%
4
icon for Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?

79%
48%
5
icon for Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?

Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?

84%
44%
6
icon for Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?

93%
44%
7
icon for Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?

Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?

81%
37%
8
icon for Will Cuffem lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?

Will Cuffem lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?

34%
34%
9
icon for Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?

Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?

0%
31%
10
icon for Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?

Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?

51%
29%
11
icon for Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026?

Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026?

92%
29%
12
icon for Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

41%
29%
13
icon for Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?

8%
26%
14
icon for Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?

Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?

5%
24%
15
icon for Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?

Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?

91%
22%
16
icon for Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?

Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?

35%
19%
17
icon for Will Iran target an Arab country by November 15, 2026?

Will Iran target an Arab country by November 15, 2026?

100%
18%
18
icon for Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

40%
17%
19
icon for Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?

97%
16%
20
icon for US imports Russian diesel by March 31?

US imports Russian diesel by March 31?

15%
16%
21
icon for Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

21%
16%
22
icon for Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?

Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?

98%
15%
23
icon for Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?

Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?

54%
15%
24
icon for Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?

25%
14%
25
icon for Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

88%
12%

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