Oct 23, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?
0%
81%
2
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?
100%
49%
3
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
98%
42%
4
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?
57%
36%
5
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?
39%
31%
6
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
24%
28%
7
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
82%
22%
8
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?
100%
21%
9
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?
21%
20%
10
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
72%
19%
11
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
11%
17%
12
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
79%
15%
13
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?
50%
15%
14
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
28%
15%
15
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?
30%
14%
16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?
83%
14%
17
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
17%
13%
18
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
95%
13%
19
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
30%
13%
20
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?
1%
10%
21
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?
82%
10%
22
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
14%
10%
23
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?
57%
8%
24
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
27%
8%
25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
34%
5%