Nov 10, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?
100%
88%
2

Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?
2%
71%
3

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
82%
52%
4

Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?
0%
50%
5

Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?
0%
47%
6

Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?
80%
36%
7

Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
0%
34%
8

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
57%
29%
9

Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
1%
29%
10

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
55%
26%
11

Government shutdown by December 31?
34%
22%
12

Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
8%
21%
13

Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
35%
20%
14

Will Iran target an Arab country by November 15, 2026?
100%
18%
15

Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
40%
17%
16

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026?
67%
17%
17

Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?
22%
17%
18

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?
15%
17%
19

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?
67%
12%
20

Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
51%
12%
21

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?
76%
11%
22

Over $10M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?
91%
11%
23

Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
20%
11%
24

Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?
68%
9%
25

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
9%
7%