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Nov 12, 2026

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See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?

Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?

0%
95%
2
icon for Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?

76%
60%
3
icon for Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?

0%
49%
4
icon for Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026?

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026?

16%
42%
5
icon for Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 15, 2026?

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 15, 2026?

13%
39%
6
icon for Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?

Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?

100%
36%
7
icon for Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?

Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?

33%
35%
8
icon for Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

100%
28%
9
icon for Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?

100%
27%
10
icon for Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?

Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?

99%
22%
11
icon for Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?

Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?

93%
19%
12
icon for Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?

Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?

24%
19%
13
icon for Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?

Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?

56%
18%
14
icon for Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?

Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?

47%
17%
15
icon for Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?

98%
16%
16
icon for Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?

55%
15%
17
icon for Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?

54%
14%
18
icon for Over $10M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?

Over $10M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?

59%
14%
19
icon for Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?

Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?

97%
14%
20
icon for Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

40%
13%
21
icon for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?

Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?

81%
13%
22
icon for Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?

32%
12%
23
icon for Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?

66%
12%
24
icon for Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

84%
12%
25
icon for Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in November?

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in November?

76%
11%

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