Nov 12, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1

Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
0%
95%
2

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?
76%
60%
3

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?
0%
49%
4

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026?
16%
42%
5

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 15, 2026?
13%
39%
6

Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?
100%
36%
7

Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?
33%
35%
8

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
100%
28%
9

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?
100%
27%
10

Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?
99%
22%
11

Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?
93%
19%
12


Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?
24%
19%
13

Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?
56%
18%
14

Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?
47%
17%
15


Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?
98%
16%
16

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?
55%
15%
17


Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
54%
14%
18

Over $10M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?
59%
14%
19


Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?
97%
14%
20


Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
40%
13%
21

Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?
81%
13%
22

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
32%
12%
23

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
66%
12%
24


Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
84%
12%
25

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in November?
76%
11%