US and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in June 2025 and February 2026 damaged enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, extending the estimated breakout timeline to nine to twelve months according to current US intelligence assessments. These operations, combined with suspended IAEA inspections at affected locations and ongoing diplomatic efforts, have constrained Iran's ability to rapidly advance toward weapons-grade material or weaponization. With roughly seven months remaining until 2027, traders view a completed nuclear device as improbable absent major undetected acceleration or external assistance, reflecting the cumulative effect of prior degradation on Iran's program.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$623,846 Vol.
$623,846 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$623,846 Vol.
$623,846 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".US and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in June 2025 and February 2026 damaged enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, extending the estimated breakout timeline to nine to twelve months according to current US intelligence assessments. These operations, combined with suspended IAEA inspections at affected locations and ongoing diplomatic efforts, have constrained Iran's ability to rapidly advance toward weapons-grade material or weaponization. With roughly seven months remaining until 2027, traders view a completed nuclear device as improbable absent major undetected acceleration or external assistance, reflecting the cumulative effect of prior degradation on Iran's program.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
ভলিউম
$623,846শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".US and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in June 2025 and February 2026 damaged enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, extending the estimated breakout timeline to nine to twelve months according to current US intelligence assessments. These operations, combined with suspended IAEA inspections at affected locations and ongoing diplomatic efforts, have constrained Iran's ability to rapidly advance toward weapons-grade material or weaponization. With roughly seven months remaining until 2027, traders view a completed nuclear device as improbable absent major undetected acceleration or external assistance, reflecting the cumulative effect of prior degradation on Iran's program.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
ভলিউম
$623,846শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in June 2025 and February 2026 damaged enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, extending the estimated breakout timeline to nine to twelve months according to current US intelligence assessments. These operations, combined with suspended IAEA inspections at affected locations and ongoing diplomatic efforts, have constrained Iran's ability to rapidly advance toward weapons-grade material or weaponization. With roughly seven months remaining until 2027, traders view a completed nuclear device as improbable absent major undetected acceleration or external assistance, reflecting the cumulative effect of prior degradation on Iran's program.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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