Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled frustration with IAEA oversight and floated NPT withdrawal since 2025 military strikes and subsequent non-compliance findings, including parliamentary bills introduced in March 2026 and warnings from figures like Mohsen Rezaei after the September 2026 IAEA Board resolution referring Iran to the UN Security Council. However, no formal notification under Article X has occurred. President Masoud Pezeshkian reaffirmed on September 12 that Iran remains committed to NPT membership and seeks negotiations within its framework, citing the treaty as evidence against weapons ambitions. Iran has instead suspended IAEA access and declarations since mid-2025 while operating without full safeguards. Withdrawal requires Supreme National Security Council approval, a supreme national interest declaration, and 90 days’ notice, creating significant procedural and diplomatic barriers before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Trader consensus reflects these hurdles and the absence of concrete exit steps.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
13% সম্ভাবনা
$546,889 Vol.
$546,889 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
13% সম্ভাবনা
$546,889 Vol.
$546,889 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled frustration with IAEA oversight and floated NPT withdrawal since 2025 military strikes and subsequent non-compliance findings, including parliamentary bills introduced in March 2026 and warnings from figures like Mohsen Rezaei after the September 2026 IAEA Board resolution referring Iran to the UN Security Council. However, no formal notification under Article X has occurred. President Masoud Pezeshkian reaffirmed on September 12 that Iran remains committed to NPT membership and seeks negotiations within its framework, citing the treaty as evidence against weapons ambitions. Iran has instead suspended IAEA access and declarations since mid-2025 while operating without full safeguards. Withdrawal requires Supreme National Security Council approval, a supreme national interest declaration, and 90 days’ notice, creating significant procedural and diplomatic barriers before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Trader consensus reflects these hurdles and the absence of concrete exit steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
ভলিউম
$546,889শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled frustration with IAEA oversight and floated NPT withdrawal since 2025 military strikes and subsequent non-compliance findings, including parliamentary bills introduced in March 2026 and warnings from figures like Mohsen Rezaei after the September 2026 IAEA Board resolution referring Iran to the UN Security Council. However, no formal notification under Article X has occurred. President Masoud Pezeshkian reaffirmed on September 12 that Iran remains committed to NPT membership and seeks negotiations within its framework, citing the treaty as evidence against weapons ambitions. Iran has instead suspended IAEA access and declarations since mid-2025 while operating without full safeguards. Withdrawal requires Supreme National Security Council approval, a supreme national interest declaration, and 90 days’ notice, creating significant procedural and diplomatic barriers before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Trader consensus reflects these hurdles and the absence of concrete exit steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$546,889শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled frustration with IAEA oversight and floated NPT withdrawal since 2025 military strikes and subsequent non-compliance findings, including parliamentary bills introduced in March 2026 and warnings from figures like Mohsen Rezaei after the September 2026 IAEA Board resolution referring Iran to the UN Security Council. However, no formal notification under Article X has occurred. President Masoud Pezeshkian reaffirmed on September 12 that Iran remains committed to NPT membership and seeks negotiations within its framework, citing the treaty as evidence against weapons ambitions. Iran has instead suspended IAEA access and declarations since mid-2025 while operating without full safeguards. Withdrawal requires Supreme National Security Council approval, a supreme national interest declaration, and 90 days’ notice, creating significant procedural and diplomatic barriers before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Trader consensus reflects these hurdles and the absence of concrete exit steps.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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