Trader consensus on Iran leadership change reflects acute instability after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination in Israeli airstrikes in March 2026, with successor Mojtaba Khamenei unseen publicly since and reportedly unconscious from severe injuries in Qom, per US and Israeli intelligence assessments. President Masoud Pezeshkian repeatedly sought resignation amid the crisis but could not secure meetings, as the IRGC consolidates de facto control, sidelining civilian leadership. An interim council previously formed, but no permanent transition has materialized. Ongoing US-Israel-Iran war escalations and potential Assembly of Experts convening heighten risks of further upheaval or factional shifts before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$9,351,680 Vol.
৩০ এপ্রিল
5%
৩১ মে
13%
৩০ জুন
18%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
32%
$9,351,680 Vol.
৩০ এপ্রিল
5%
৩১ মে
13%
৩০ জুন
18%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
32%
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Iran leadership change reflects acute instability after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination in Israeli airstrikes in March 2026, with successor Mojtaba Khamenei unseen publicly since and reportedly unconscious from severe injuries in Qom, per US and Israeli intelligence assessments. President Masoud Pezeshkian repeatedly sought resignation amid the crisis but could not secure meetings, as the IRGC consolidates de facto control, sidelining civilian leadership. An interim council previously formed, but no permanent transition has materialized. Ongoing US-Israel-Iran war escalations and potential Assembly of Experts convening heighten risks of further upheaval or factional shifts before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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