Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability on "No" for Vladimir Putin exiting as Russian president by December 31, 2026, reflecting his constitutionally secured six-year term until 2030, following 2020 amendments and his unchallenged 2024 reelection amid suppressed opposition. No verified official announcements, health declines, or elite power shifts have emerged to challenge his control over the Kremlin, security apparatus, and United Russia party. Persistent but unsubstantiated rumors—such as March 2026 coughing footage quickly removed by state media and late-April speculation of a two-week public absence tied to alleged Kremlin infighting or "Operation Twilight" elite maneuvers—have marginally lifted "Yes" odds without primary-source confirmation, underscoring traders' skepticism toward unproven claims in a tightly controlled authoritarian system. Late-breaking diplomatic setbacks, verified health events, or military reversals in Ukraine could still shift dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডপুতিন কি ২০২৬ সালের ৩১ ডিসেম্বরের মধ্যে রাশিয়ার রাষ্ট্রপতি হিসাবে পদত্যাগ করবেন?
পুতিন কি ২০২৬ সালের ৩১ ডিসেম্বরের মধ্যে রাশিয়ার রাষ্ট্রপতি হিসাবে পদত্যাগ করবেন?
হ্যাঁ
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
হ্যাঁ
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
রেজলভার
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability on "No" for Vladimir Putin exiting as Russian president by December 31, 2026, reflecting his constitutionally secured six-year term until 2030, following 2020 amendments and his unchallenged 2024 reelection amid suppressed opposition. No verified official announcements, health declines, or elite power shifts have emerged to challenge his control over the Kremlin, security apparatus, and United Russia party. Persistent but unsubstantiated rumors—such as March 2026 coughing footage quickly removed by state media and late-April speculation of a two-week public absence tied to alleged Kremlin infighting or "Operation Twilight" elite maneuvers—have marginally lifted "Yes" odds without primary-source confirmation, underscoring traders' skepticism toward unproven claims in a tightly controlled authoritarian system. Late-breaking diplomatic setbacks, verified health events, or military reversals in Ukraine could still shift dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা