Russia has adhered to a nuclear testing moratorium since its last detonation in 1990 at Novaya Zemlya, despite not ratifying the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty, fostering trader consensus on low near-term probabilities amid post-New START expiration in February 2026 that ended U.S.-Russia strategic limits. November 2025 saw Defense Minister Belousov propose—and President Putin approve—immediate preparations for full-scale tests at the Arctic site, responding to U.S. resumption signals, but no detonations have followed. On April 2, strategic forces conducted Yars ICBM drills in Siberia, emphasizing nuclear-capable readiness without explosions. Planned solid-fuel ICBM flight tests later this year are expected to be non-nuclear; Ukraine escalation, sanctions, or diplomatic breakthroughs could influence sentiment ahead of quarterly deadlines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$1,344,168 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
৩০ জুন, ২০২৬
3%
৩০ সেপ্টেম্বর, ২০২৬
6%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬
12%
$1,344,168 Vol.
৩০ জুন, ২০২৬
$5,716 Vol.
3%
৩০ সেপ্টেম্বর, ২০২৬
$1,720 Vol.
6%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬
$12,159 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.Russia has adhered to a nuclear testing moratorium since its last detonation in 1990 at Novaya Zemlya, despite not ratifying the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty, fostering trader consensus on low near-term probabilities amid post-New START expiration in February 2026 that ended U.S.-Russia strategic limits. November 2025 saw Defense Minister Belousov propose—and President Putin approve—immediate preparations for full-scale tests at the Arctic site, responding to U.S. resumption signals, but no detonations have followed. On April 2, strategic forces conducted Yars ICBM drills in Siberia, emphasizing nuclear-capable readiness without explosions. Planned solid-fuel ICBM flight tests later this year are expected to be non-nuclear; Ukraine escalation, sanctions, or diplomatic breakthroughs could influence sentiment ahead of quarterly deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,344,168শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.Russia has adhered to a nuclear testing moratorium since its last detonation in 1990 at Novaya Zemlya, despite not ratifying the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty, fostering trader consensus on low near-term probabilities amid post-New START expiration in February 2026 that ended U.S.-Russia strategic limits. November 2025 saw Defense Minister Belousov propose—and President Putin approve—immediate preparations for full-scale tests at the Arctic site, responding to U.S. resumption signals, but no detonations have followed. On April 2, strategic forces conducted Yars ICBM drills in Siberia, emphasizing nuclear-capable readiness without explosions. Planned solid-fuel ICBM flight tests later this year are expected to be non-nuclear; Ukraine escalation, sanctions, or diplomatic breakthroughs could influence sentiment ahead of quarterly deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$1,344,168শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia has adhered to a nuclear testing moratorium since its last detonation in 1990 at Novaya Zemlya, despite not ratifying the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty, fostering trader consensus on low near-term probabilities amid post-New START expiration in February 2026 that ended U.S.-Russia strategic limits. November 2025 saw Defense Minister Belousov propose—and President Putin approve—immediate preparations for full-scale tests at the Arctic site, responding to U.S. resumption signals, but no detonations have followed. On April 2, strategic forces conducted Yars ICBM drills in Siberia, emphasizing nuclear-capable readiness without explosions. Planned solid-fuel ICBM flight tests later this year are expected to be non-nuclear; Ukraine escalation, sanctions, or diplomatic breakthroughs could influence sentiment ahead of quarterly deadlines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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