Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50¢
80.1¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50¢
20¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
74.4¢
75.3¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
78¢
90.5¢

Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
73¢
99.1¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026?
90¢
89.5¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
92¢
84¢

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
82.5¢
89¢

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
70.5¢
74.6¢

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?
94.2¢
95.7¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
6.4¢
14.1¢

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
