Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
89.7¢
91.5¢

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
74.5¢
73.5¢

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
20.1¢
76¢

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
88.1¢
93¢

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
30.6¢
26.6¢

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
74.5¢
83.3¢

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
29.5¢
31.5¢

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
27.9¢
13.5¢

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
71.5¢
78.5¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
70.6¢
84.2¢

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
90¢
83¢

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?
79.1¢
83.5¢

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
63¢
73¢

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
75.9¢
78.5¢

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

