The-Joker

Joined Oct 2025·57.2K views

Portwatch Villain.

$91.4K

Positions Value

$11.1K

Biggest Win

2,414

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$155.8K
Total Volume: 8.1M

Profit/Loss

$8,584.45

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14¢

123,186.6 shares

14¢

13.5¢

$16,630.19-$615.81 (-3.57%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14¢

123,186.6 shares

$16,630.19-$615.81 (-3.57%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?

No 89.8¢

11,308.5 shares

89.8¢

95.7¢

$10,816.61$662.57 (6.53%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?

No 89.8¢

11,308.5 shares

$10,816.61$662.57 (6.53%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 65¢

13,776.3 shares

65¢

70¢

$9,636.49$677.77 (7.57%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 65¢

13,776.3 shares

$9,636.49$677.77 (7.57%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 64¢

13,513.6 shares

64¢

62.5¢

$8,446.03-$202.67 (-2.34%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 64¢

13,513.6 shares

$8,446.03-$202.67 (-2.34%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Yes 90.4¢

7,233.8 shares

90.4¢

92.8¢

$6,709.39$167.45 (2.56%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Yes 90.4¢

7,233.8 shares

$6,709.39$167.45 (2.56%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 73¢

7,583.2 shares

73¢

74¢

$5,611.59$75.88 (1.37%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 73¢

7,583.2 shares

$5,611.59$75.88 (1.37%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 79.8¢

5,608.8 shares

79.8¢

86.5¢

$4,851.61$374.51 (8.36%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 79.8¢

5,608.8 shares

$4,851.61$374.51 (8.36%)

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No 78¢

4,000.0 shares

78¢

82.4¢

$3,294.00$174.00 (5.58%)

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No 78¢

4,000.0 shares

$3,294.00$174.00 (5.58%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 70¢

5,000.0 shares

70¢

58.5¢

$2,925.00-$575.00 (-16.43%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 70¢

5,000.0 shares

$2,925.00-$575.00 (-16.43%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 30.1¢

4,604.2 shares

30.1¢

58¢

$2,668.15$1,281.50 (92.42%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 30.1¢

4,604.2 shares

$2,668.15$1,281.50 (92.42%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

No 60.3¢

3,036.0 shares

60.3¢

73.5¢

$2,231.46$399.62 (21.81%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

No 60.3¢

3,036.0 shares

$2,231.46$399.62 (21.81%)

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82¢

2,000.5 shares

82¢

93.5¢

$1,870.50$230.06 (14.02%)

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82¢

2,000.5 shares

$1,870.50$230.06 (14.02%)

Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?

Yes 38.1¢

5,354.9 shares

38.1¢

29.5¢

$1,579.68-$461.35 (-22.6%)

Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?

Yes 38.1¢

5,354.9 shares

$1,579.68-$461.35 (-22.6%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

Yes 57.8¢

2,666.2 shares

57.8¢

55.5¢

$1,479.74-$62.21 (-4.03%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

Yes 57.8¢

2,666.2 shares

$1,479.74-$62.21 (-4.03%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 48.2¢

5,839.9 shares

48.2¢

24.5¢

$1,430.77-$1,385.49 (-49.2%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 48.2¢

5,839.9 shares

$1,430.77-$1,385.49 (-49.2%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 19.3¢

5,483.6 shares

19.3¢

22.5¢

$1,233.82$175.64 (16.6%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 19.3¢

5,483.6 shares

$1,233.82$175.64 (16.6%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 67.9¢

1,857.2 shares

67.9¢

57¢

$1,058.62-$202.30 (-16.04%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 67.9¢

1,857.2 shares

$1,058.62-$202.30 (-16.04%)

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 66.4¢

1,578.1 shares

66.4¢

58¢

$915.30-$131.81 (-12.59%)

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 66.4¢

1,578.1 shares

$915.30-$131.81 (-12.59%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

No 69.6¢

854.2 shares

69.6¢

96.9¢

$827.69$233.21 (39.23%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

No 69.6¢

854.2 shares

$827.69$233.21 (39.23%)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 72¢

1,006.1 shares

72¢

79.5¢

$799.85$75.59 (10.44%)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 72¢

1,006.1 shares

$799.85$75.59 (10.44%)