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Ogre-Magi

Joined Jan 2026ยท502 views

$2,701.93

Positions Value

$552.40

Biggest Win

433

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$9.84
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 26.7ยข
890.4 shares
$440.74$202.96 (85.36%)
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 58.7ยข
316.8 shares
$313.51$127.49 (68.53%)
icon for Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 77.2ยข
372.9 shares
$262.88-$25.04 (-8.7%)

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Yes 21.6ยข
180.7 shares
$156.37$117.33 (300.57%)
icon for US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Yes 51.4ยข
244.7 shares
$108.90-$16.82 (-13.38%)

US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?

No 85.7ยข
80.3 shares
$79.71$10.93 (15.88%)
icon for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

No 77ยข
80.0 shares
$73.98$12.40 (20.13%)
icon for Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 67.9ยข
93.4 shares
$73.84$10.48 (16.55%)
icon for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

No 86ยข
83.3 shares
$72.89$1.25 (1.74%)

Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?

Yes 27.8ยข
188.7 shares
$66.03$13.62 (25.99%)
icon for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Yes 44.6ยข
148.6 shares
$57.97-$8.28 (-12.5%)
icon for Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Yes 47.8ยข
479.2 shares
$52.71-$176.23 (-76.98%)
icon for Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 70.6ยข
74.0 shares
$52.51$0.31 (0.6%)
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

No 43ยข
66.0 shares
$51.84$23.44 (82.56%)
icon for NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

No 81.6ยข
61.5 shares
$50.15-$0.06 (-0.12%)
icon for Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

Yes 19ยข
133.6 shares
$44.77$19.37 (76.23%)
icon for Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 78ยข
50.0 shares
$43.23$4.25 (10.9%)

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

Yes 11.1ยข
481.2 shares
$41.57-$12.02 (-22.43%)
icon for Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 90ยข
45.0 shares
$41.40$0.90 (2.22%)