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manchot

Joined Jun 2025·1.0K views

betmoar-26518

$7,472.74

Positions Value

$6,551.49

Biggest Win

916

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$308.23
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 53.1¢
2,546.7 shares
$1,744.48$392.08 (28.99%)
icon for Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

No 70¢
1,250.0 shares
$956.25$81.25 (9.29%)
icon for Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 14¢
2,000.0 shares
$757.00$477.00 (170.36%)
icon for Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 46.4¢
2,506.9 shares
$653.05-$509.58 (-43.83%)
icon for Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 44¢
1,000.0 shares
$435.00-$5.00 (-1.14%)
icon for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

No 79¢
397.0 shares
$373.18$59.55 (18.99%)
icon for Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

No 19¢
1,984.0 shares
$327.36-$49.60 (-13.16%)
icon for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

Yes 60.8¢
502.8 shares
$241.34-$64.39 (-21.06%)
icon for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 13.7¢
1,000.0 shares
$240.50$103.25 (75.23%)
icon for Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?

Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?

No 36.9¢
579.3 shares
$237.51$23.67 (11.07%)
icon for Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 51.2¢
394.3 shares
$234.63$32.91 (16.31%)
icon for Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 33¢
606.0 shares
$178.77-$21.21 (-10.61%)
icon for Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11¢
1,818.0 shares
$172.71-$27.27 (-13.64%)
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 26¢
342.9 shares
$169.75$80.59 (90.38%)
icon for Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?

Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?

Yes 65.9¢
232.5 shares
$158.11$4.78 (3.12%)
icon for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Yes 56¢
267.9 shares
$156.69$6.70 (4.46%)
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Yes 14¢
1,000.0 shares
$135.00-$5.00 (-3.57%)
icon for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Yes 4¢
1,250.0 shares
$65.63$15.63 (31.25%)
icon for Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

No 44¢
53.6 shares
$23.33-$0.27 (-1.14%)