kinderSman

Joined Apr 2025·4.4K views

I have heard things

$50.9K

Positions Value

$56.6K

Biggest Win

737

Predictions

Total PnL: +$152.9K
Total Volume: 8.2M

Profit/Loss

-$45.84

Past Day

Market

Avg

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

No 99.6¢

20,000.0 shares

99.6¢

100¢

$19,990.00$71.04 (0.36%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

No 99.6¢

20,000.0 shares

$19,990.00$71.04 (0.36%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 83.6¢

7,304.5 shares

83.6¢

82.5¢

$6,022.52-$84.60 (-1.39%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 83.6¢

7,304.5 shares

$6,022.52-$84.60 (-1.39%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 83.3¢

6,000.0 shares

83.3¢

79.5¢

$4,769.99-$229.99 (-4.6%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 83.3¢

6,000.0 shares

$4,769.99-$229.99 (-4.6%)

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 99.3¢

3,500.0 shares

99.3¢

$3,475.49-$0.49 (-0.01%)

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 99.3¢

3,500.0 shares

$3,475.49-$0.49 (-0.01%)

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?

No 98.1¢

3,028.0 shares

98.1¢

98.6¢

$2,985.60$15.14 (0.51%)

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?

No 98.1¢

3,028.0 shares

$2,985.60$15.14 (0.51%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 82.7¢

3,000.0 shares

82.7¢

78.5¢

$2,355.00-$125.00 (-5.04%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 82.7¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,355.00-$125.00 (-5.04%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?

No 99.1¢

2,000.0 shares

99.1¢

99.2¢

$1,983.00$1.00 (0.05%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?

No 99.1¢

2,000.0 shares

$1,983.00$1.00 (0.05%)

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

No 91¢

2,000.0 shares

91¢

95.5¢

$1,910.00$90.00 (4.95%)

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

No 91¢

2,000.0 shares

$1,910.00$90.00 (4.95%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 61.6¢

6,000.0 shares

61.6¢

20.5¢

$1,230.00-$2,468.94 (-66.75%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 61.6¢

6,000.0 shares

$1,230.00-$2,468.94 (-66.75%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 96¢

1,000.0 shares

96¢

99.6¢

$995.50$35.50 (3.7%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 96¢

1,000.0 shares

$995.50$35.50 (3.7%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

No 98.6¢

1,000.0 shares

98.6¢

99.2¢

$991.47$5.50 (0.56%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

No 98.6¢

1,000.0 shares

$991.47$5.50 (0.56%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?

No 99¢

1,000.0 shares

99¢

98.8¢

$987.50-$2.50 (-0.25%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?

No 99¢

1,000.0 shares

$987.50-$2.50 (-0.25%)

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?

No 96¢

1,000.0 shares

96¢

96.2¢

$961.50$1.50 (0.16%)

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?

No 96¢

1,000.0 shares

$961.50$1.50 (0.16%)

New pandemic in 2026?

No 93¢

1,000.0 shares

93¢

93.5¢

$935.00$5.00 (0.54%)

New pandemic in 2026?

No 93¢

1,000.0 shares

$935.00$5.00 (0.54%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?

No 98.4¢

700.0 shares

98.4¢

99¢

$693.00$4.40 (0.64%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?

No 98.4¢

700.0 shares

$693.00$4.40 (0.64%)

Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?

Bolsonaro 99.9¢

300.0 shares

99.9¢

99.5¢

$298.50-$1.20 (-0.4%)

Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?

Bolsonaro 99.9¢

300.0 shares

$298.50-$1.20 (-0.4%)

Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?

No 97.6¢

110.0 shares

97.6¢

99.7¢

$109.67$2.33 (2.17%)

Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?

No 97.6¢

110.0 shares

$109.67$2.33 (2.17%)

GTA VI released by October 31?

No 97.2¢

100.0 shares

97.2¢

99.4¢

$99.35$2.15 (2.21%)

GTA VI released by October 31?

No 97.2¢

100.0 shares

$99.35$2.15 (2.21%)

Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?

No 95.2¢

77.6 shares

95.2¢

100¢

$77.56$3.65 (4.93%)

Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?

No 95.2¢

77.6 shares

$77.56$3.65 (4.93%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?

No 98.1¢

58.6 shares

98.1¢

98.5¢

$57.73$0.23 (0.41%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?

No 98.1¢

58.6 shares

$57.73$0.23 (0.41%)