Profit/Loss
Past Day

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
92.2¢
98.3¢

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
85.3¢
93¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?
99¢
99.5¢

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
92.6¢
95¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by July 31, 2026?
98.9¢
99.1¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by July 31, 2026?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
74.2¢
96.8¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?
93¢
95.5¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
96.4¢
99.5¢

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
86.9¢
95.1¢

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
64.6¢
77.5¢

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
95.7¢
99¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
96.1¢
98.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
31.5¢
30.5¢

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
