Skip to main content
profile pic

Erasmus.

Joined Jul 2024·159 views

Prediction markets are the future, if there is one. Erasmusxyz on discord, send me your trade ideas or pictures of your cat.

$1.4M

Positions Value

$230.0K

Biggest Win

709

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$34,825.20
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
Market icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 86.5¢
694,449.2 shares
$687,851.90$87,480.46 (14.57%)
Market icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 85.3¢
248,990.0 shares
$230,315.78$17,906.12 (8.43%)
Market icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 68¢
176,477.6 shares
$142,064.47$21,986.11 (18.31%)
Market icon

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 68.3¢
172,693.9 shares
$116,568.41-$1,317.14 (-1.12%)
Market icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 94¢
49,972.9 shares
$48,223.80$1,249.32 (2.66%)
Market icon

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 87.3¢
47,143.1 shares
$44,833.09$3,698.71 (8.99%)
Market icon

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Yes 87.2¢
23,655.6 shares
$23,643.74$3,010.01 (14.59%)
Market icon

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 86.6¢
29,609.1 shares
$22,277.92-$3,354.21 (-13.09%)
Market icon

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Yes 70.7¢
18,524.2 shares
$11,762.84-$1,326.44 (-10.13%)
Market icon

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 34.3¢
47,198.4 shares
$9,675.67-$6,514.09 (-40.24%)
Market icon

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 16¢
10,670.9 shares
$6,562.59$4,855.25 (284.37%)
Market icon

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 46.6¢
10,231.9 shares
$4,041.59-$729.74 (-15.29%)
Market icon

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

No 75.5¢
2,564.1 shares
$2,489.72$553.92 (28.61%)
Market icon

Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?

No 88¢
2,277.3 shares
$2,152.01$148.02 (7.39%)
Market icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9¢
20,102.8 shares
$1,507.71-$301.54 (-16.67%)
Market icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 27¢
4,094.4 shares
$1,207.85$102.36 (9.26%)
Market icon

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 91¢
1,160.7 shares
$1,073.68$17.71 (1.68%)
Market icon

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

No 65.1¢
738.6 shares
$715.36$234.60 (48.8%)
Market icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes 1.6¢
39,302.8 shares
$373.38-$255.47 (-40.62%)
Market icon

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 7.8¢
2,501.9 shares
$260.19$64.13 (32.71%)
Market icon

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 65.1¢
161.9 shares
$90.43-$15.07 (-14.29%)
Market icon

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 67.6¢
1.0 shares
$0.65-$0.01 (-1.63%)
Market icon

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 53.3¢
0.6 shares
$0.35$0.03 (7.84%)
Market icon

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Yes 82.6¢
0.5 shares
$0.20-$0.20 (-49.74%)
Market icon

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

No 42¢
10,000.0 shares
$0.00-$4,200.00 (-100%)
Market icon

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Yes 1.2¢
43,504.3 shares
$0.00-$516.05 (-100%)
Market icon

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Yes 40.3¢
1,626.0 shares
$0.00-$655.61 (-100%)
Market icon

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Yes 12¢
5,217.5 shares
$0.00-$626.10 (-100%)
Market icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

No 60¢
1,650.2 shares
$0.00-$990.13 (-100%)
Market icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 11.6¢
100,000.0 shares
$0.00-$11,559.40 (-100%)