US-geo promotional popup. Variant sets the initial state (expanded vs minimized).

us_popup

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route navbar search to the search ranking service

search_ranking_autocomplete

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

NATO dissolves before 2027?

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? 

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 21?

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?

Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?

US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

eiszinka

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Activity

Approve token spending for trading

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Buy ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ shares depending on your prediction. Odds shift in real time as other traders get in on the action.

1. Pick a Polymarket

1. Explore our Polymarkets

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2. Place a Trade

Sell your 'Yes' or 'No' shares at any time, or wait until the market ends to redeem winning shares for $1 each. Create an account and place your first trade in minutes.

3. Redeem

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You can close out these resolved positions to realize the loss.

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Merge a share of Yes and No to get 1 USDC. You can do this to save cost when trying to get rid of a position.

Merge shares

Order Book

Major Price Slippage

Split a USDC into a share of Yes and No. You can do this to save cost by getting both and just selling the other side.

Split shares

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Profit/Loss