eightpenguins
$93.2K
Positions Value
$87.4K
Biggest Win
595
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
81.7¢
85.6¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
73.9¢
84.5¢

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
29¢
32.5¢

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
97.7¢
99¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
82.2¢
86¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
38.5¢
35.5¢

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
57.1¢
78.5¢

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
33.9¢
21.5¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
12.7¢
37.9¢

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
39.1¢
41.7¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
9.6¢
7.5¢

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
10.6¢
0.8¢

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
12¢
1.5¢

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
17.9¢
12.7¢

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
12.1¢
0.7¢

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
28¢
4.3¢

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?