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eightpenguins

Joined Jul 2025·17.3K views

$93.2K

Positions Value

$87.4K

Biggest Win

595

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$1,837.16
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 71¢
55,648.1 shares
$39,231.91-$278.18 (-0.7%)
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81.7¢
30,646.3 shares
$26,217.90$1,183.25 (4.73%)
icon for Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

No 73.9¢
7,049.0 shares
$5,956.38$750.15 (14.41%)
icon for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 29¢
11,663.7 shares
$3,790.71$408.23 (12.07%)
icon for US strike on Cuba by December 31?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 50.4¢
11,307.1 shares
$3,787.88-$1,913.52 (-33.56%)
icon for 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 44¢
5,555.0 shares
$2,416.43-$27.77 (-1.14%)
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 97.7¢
2,349.2 shares
$2,324.52$29.36 (1.28%)
icon for Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Yes 38.5¢
5,400.8 shares
$2,025.30-$52.43 (-2.52%)
icon for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 82.2¢
2,167.3 shares
$1,862.80$80.31 (4.51%)
icon for Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?

Yes 38.5¢
4,882.5 shares
$1,733.30-$147.38 (-7.84%)
icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 57.1¢
1,665.0 shares
$1,307.03$355.76 (37.4%)
icon for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 33.9¢
3,119.3 shares
$670.64-$386.48 (-36.56%)
icon for Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 12.7¢
1,575.1 shares
$596.19$396.31 (198.28%)
icon for Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 39.1¢
1,285.7 shares
$535.51$32.79 (6.52%)
icon for Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Yes 9.6¢
3,910.3 shares
$293.28-$81.98 (-21.85%)
icon for IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

Yes 10.6¢
26,395.8 shares
$197.97-$2,601.07 (-92.93%)
icon for Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 12¢
4,935.0 shares
$71.56-$520.65 (-87.92%)
icon for Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Yes 17.9¢
500.5 shares
$63.31-$26.27 (-29.32%)
icon for Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 12.1¢
7,817.0 shares
$50.81-$894.47 (-94.62%)
icon for Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 28¢
1,111.0 shares
$47.66-$263.41 (-84.68%)