arleclec
Joined Jun 2026·0 views
$119.30
Positions Value
$20.08
Biggest Win
1,334
Predictions
Profit/Loss
$1.91
Past Day
Current

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 11¢
45.5 shares11¢
68.5¢
$31.14$26.14 (522.73%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 11¢
45.5 shares$31.14$26.14 (522.73%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 20.8¢
96.2 shares20.8¢
24.2¢
$23.22$3.22 (16.11%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 20.8¢
96.2 shares$23.22$3.22 (16.11%)

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
No 8.8¢
47.6 shares8.8¢
31.7¢
$15.08$10.92 (262.18%)

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
No 8.8¢
47.6 shares$15.08$10.92 (262.18%)

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
No 6¢
68.2 shares$9.72$5.65 (138.56%)

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
No 6.4¢
39.5 shares$6.51$4.00 (159.14%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
No 78¢
6.3 shares$6.24$1.31 (26.54%)

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
No 3.1¢
159.4 shares$5.98$0.98 (19.52%)

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
No 9.9¢
50.5 shares9.9¢
11¢
$5.56$0.56 (11.1%)

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
No 9.9¢
50.5 shares$5.56$0.56 (11.1%)

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?
No 63¢
7.8 shares$5.51$0.59 (11.9%)

Iran leadership change by August 31?
No 95.8¢
5.2 shares$5.18$0.19 (3.86%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 96.3¢
5.2 shares96.3¢
99.8¢
$5.17$0.18 (3.58%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 96.3¢
5.2 shares$5.17$0.18 (3.58%)