Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
89.7¢
90.5¢

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
77.3¢
85.7¢

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
81¢
96.3¢

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
91.3¢
99.5¢

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
83.3¢
98.1¢

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
90.7¢
95.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
44.2¢
65.1¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
73.3¢
92.9¢

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
84.3¢
87.6¢

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
81.3¢
96.1¢

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
92¢
91.5¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
85.5¢
86.5¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
75.4¢
96.8¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
88.4¢
95¢

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
87.5¢
98¢

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
79.7¢
96.6¢

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
65.4¢
73¢

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
