Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
23.4¢
19¢

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
39.1¢
74.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
20.7¢
16.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
9¢
11.5¢

Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
54.5¢
49.5¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
13.2¢
11.5¢

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Fed rate hike in 2026?

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
63.2¢
53.5¢

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2.3¢
2.5¢

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
21¢
17.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
11.1¢
9.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
5.2¢
3.7¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
17.3¢
8.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?
3.3¢
4.3¢

Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
6¢
5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
20¢
14.5¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
23¢
21¢

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.1¢
1¢

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
25.6¢
18.5¢

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
