Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

38%

<4m sq km

$29.2K 交易量

$6.2K Liq.

6

Ends 6 个月内

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

66%

Stefan Brodie

$158K 交易量

$134K Liq.

10

Ends 9 个月内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

53%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$11.8K Liq.

108

Ends 3 个月内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

34%

December 31, 2026

$440K 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

27

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

60%

Silver

$17.2K 交易量

$27.7K Liq.

Ends 25 天内

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

100%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$2M 交易量

$719K today

$2M Liq.

381

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

40%

160-179

$26.0K 交易量

$18.4K Liq.

Ends 6 天内

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

38%

180-199

$8.4K 交易量

$41.3K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

49%

180-199

$66.1K 交易量

$32.4K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

74%

>$600M

$15M 交易量

$84.3K today

$465K Liq.

262

Ends 3 个月内

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

55%

60-79

$4.9K 交易量

$6.3K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

45%

<5

$328 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

16%

↑ $3

$603K 交易量

$40.7K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

72%

↑ $3.00

$91.9K 交易量

$120K Liq.

1

Ends 26 天内

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

36%

$447K 交易量

$50.9K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

97%

$1.9K 交易量

$7.5K Liq.

Ends 25 天内

CZ # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

CZ # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

65%

20-39

$1.2K 交易量

$6.8K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

82%

↓ 0.0014

$98.0K 交易量

$13.0K Liq.

2

Ends 9 个月内

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

47%

10-14

$19.9K 交易量

$14.4K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)

What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)

92%

Trump

$1.8K 交易量

$6.0K Liq.

Ends 7 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 雪 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 102 个活跃的 雪 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $20.4M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?",市场目前认为 >$600M 的概率为 74%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 雪 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。