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GPT 5.5 预测与赔率

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GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

96%

July 31

$621K 交易量

$53.2K Liq.

7

Ends 大约 2 个月内

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

46%

June 15–June 21

$62.7K 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

Ends 21 天内

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

83%

December 31, 2026

$336K 交易量

$13.4K Liq.

44

Ends 5 个月前

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

30%

60%+

$37.5K 交易量

$2.0K Liq.

4

Ends 23 天内

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

28%

50%+

$24.9K 交易量

$1.7K Liq.

1

Ends 23 天内

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

54%

GPT-6 released

$23M 交易量

$738K Liq.

885

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

97%

September 30

$22.0K 交易量

$15.8K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K 交易量

Ends 大约 2 个月前

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K 交易量

Ends 24 天前

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$168K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

30

Ends 23 天内

Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

57%

Five Fears

$0 交易量

$434 Liq.

Ends 5 天内

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

SHISHKA

$603 交易量

Ends 26 天前

White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

34%

180-199

$4.5K 交易量

$36.5K Liq.

Ends 6 天内

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Misa Esports

$916 交易量

Ends 24 天前

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

CYBERSHOKE Prospects

$705 交易量

Ends 27 天前

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

59%

4+

$6.8K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

Ends 23 天内

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

80%

Team Secret Whales

$456 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Endless Journey

$1.4K 交易量

Ends 28 天前

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Donstu Esports

$2.3K 交易量

Ends 25 天前

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?

50%

≤5

$3.3K 交易量

$4.6K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 GPT 5.5 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 108 个活跃的 GPT 5.5 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"GPT-5.6 released by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $23.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"What will happen before GTA VI?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"What will happen before GTA VI?",市场目前认为 GPT-6 released 的概率为 54%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 GPT 5.5 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。