USGS seismic monitoring confirms more than nine earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurred worldwide between June 1 and June 7, 2026, driving the market-implied probability of that outcome to 100 percent. Routine tectonic activity along major subduction zones and fault systems, including events such as a magnitude 6.2 near Italy and several magnitude 5.5–5.7 shocks off Oregon, Japan, and other regions, produced a weekly total exceeding the typical global baseline of roughly 10–15 such events. Trader consensus reflects the final USGS catalog, with little uncertainty once the observation window closed. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to rare post-review magnitude revisions for borderline cases near the 5.5 threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
>9 100.0%
9 1.2%
≤5 <1%
6 <1%
$104,792 交易量
$104,792 交易量
2026-06-08
≤5
No
6
No
7
No
8
No
9
No
>9
Yes
>9 100.0%
9 1.2%
≤5 <1%
6 <1%
$104,792 交易量
$104,792 交易量
2026-06-08
≤5
$82,435 交易量
No
6
$5,206 交易量
No
7
$638 交易量
No
8
$1,133 交易量
No
9
$8,528 交易量
No
>9
$6,852 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic monitoring confirms more than nine earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurred worldwide between June 1 and June 7, 2026, driving the market-implied probability of that outcome to 100 percent. Routine tectonic activity along major subduction zones and fault systems, including events such as a magnitude 6.2 near Italy and several magnitude 5.5–5.7 shocks off Oregon, Japan, and other regions, produced a weekly total exceeding the typical global baseline of roughly 10–15 such events. Trader consensus reflects the final USGS catalog, with little uncertainty once the observation window closed. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to rare post-review magnitude revisions for borderline cases near the 5.5 threshold.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市场开放时间： Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
交易量
$104,792结束日期
2026-06-08市场开放时间
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic monitoring confirms more than nine earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurred worldwide between June 1 and June 7, 2026, driving the market-implied probability of that outcome to 100 percent. Routine tectonic activity along major subduction zones and fault systems, including events such as a magnitude 6.2 near Italy and several magnitude 5.5–5.7 shocks off Oregon, Japan, and other regions, produced a weekly total exceeding the typical global baseline of roughly 10–15 such events. Trader consensus reflects the final USGS catalog, with little uncertainty once the observation window closed. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to rare post-review magnitude revisions for borderline cases near the 5.5 threshold.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$104,792结束日期
2026-06-08市场开放时间
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
USGS seismic monitoring confirms more than nine earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurred worldwide between June 1 and June 7, 2026, driving the market-implied probability of that outcome to 100 percent. Routine tectonic activity along major subduction zones and fault systems, including events such as a magnitude 6.2 near Italy and several magnitude 5.5–5.7 shocks off Oregon, Japan, and other regions, produced a weekly total exceeding the typical global baseline of roughly 10–15 such events. Trader consensus reflects the final USGS catalog, with little uncertainty once the observation window closed. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to rare post-review magnitude revisions for borderline cases near the 5.5 threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题