#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

96%

ChatGPT

$1.6K 交易量

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

85%

Claude by Anthropic

$408 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

80%

April 15

$11 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

66%

April 15

$6 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

1%

$71.9K 交易量

$13.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 days

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by March 31?

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by March 31?

15%

↑ 1.6M

$357K 交易量

$26.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

25%

India

$138K 交易量

$184K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

15%

$107K 交易量

$24.9K Liq.

9

Ends in 3 months

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

9%

$45.8K 交易量

$23.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Will FaZe make a roster move before May?

Will FaZe make a roster move before May?

49%

$5.2K 交易量

$463 Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?

53%

↓ 1.5M

$0 交易量

$248 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

66%

$0 交易量

$59 Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

53%

June 30

$0 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

16%

$22.5K 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Where will David Njoku play in 2026-27?

Where will David Njoku play in 2026-27?

99%

Chicago Bears

$17.5K 交易量

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Where will George Pickens play in 2026-27?

Where will George Pickens play in 2026-27?

84%

Dallas Cowboys

$17.1K 交易量

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Where will Joey Bosa play in 2026-27?

Where will Joey Bosa play in 2026-27?

2%

Arizona Cardinals

$13.2K 交易量

$213 Liq.

Ends in 5 months

What will Trump post this week? (March 23 - March 29)

What will Trump post this week? (March 23 - March 29)

50%

Trump derangement / Trump deranged

$79.3K 交易量

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

Where will Kirk Cousins play in 2026-27?

Where will Kirk Cousins play in 2026-27?

6%

Las Vegas Raiders

$39.6K 交易量

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

14%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$211K 交易量

$79.9K Liq.

13

Ends in 2 months

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 免费独奏 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 139 个活跃的 免费独奏 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $1.1M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by March 31?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by March 31?",市场目前认为 ↓ 1.6M 的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 免费独奏 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。