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哪些政党将在日本提前选举中失去席位?

$84,558 交易量

Feb 8, 2026
Polymarket

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party loses at least 1 seat in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of resolution, a party’s seat count will be compared to the number of seats that party held immediately prior to the dissolution of the House of Representatives for the 2026 Japanese snap election, which may differ from the number of seats won in the previous general election.

If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
交易量
$84,558
结束日期
Feb 8, 2026
创建时间
Jan 23, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party loses at least 1 seat in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of resolution, a party’s seat count will be compared to the number of seats that party held immediately prior to the dissolution of the House of Representatives for the 2026 Japanese snap election, which may differ from the number of seats won in the previous general election. If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

哪些政党将在日本提前选举中失去席位?

$84,558 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

令和

$4,092 交易量

96%

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日本共产党

$1,887 交易量

85%

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日本保守党

$14,704 交易量

62%

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日本维新会

$1,644 交易量

67%

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国民民主党

$2,945 交易量

44%

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自民党

$19,028 交易量

1%

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未来党

$15,600 交易量

1%

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三圣党

$3,662 交易量

1%

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社会民主党

$20,995 交易量

1%

警惕外部链接哦。