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哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?

Market icon

哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?

Anthropic 100.0%

分组项标题:OpenAI <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Z.ai <1%

Polymarket

$610,975 交易量

Anthropic 100.0%

分组项标题:OpenAI <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Z.ai <1%

Polymarket

$610,975 交易量

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Anthropic

$139,066 交易量

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分组项标题:OpenAI

$71,148 交易量

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DeepSeek

$95,315 交易量

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Z.ai

$79,604 交易量

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分组项标题:xAI

$34,675 交易量

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截至6月30日无

$57,526 交易量

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Mistral

$36,701 交易量

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谷歌

$56,772 交易量

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阿里巴巴

$40,168 交易量

This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".

If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
交易量
$610,975
结束日期
Jun 30, 2026
市场开放时间
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30". If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthropic" at 100%, followed by "分组项标题:OpenAI" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?" has generated $611K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?" is "Anthropic" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "分组项标题:OpenAI" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪家公司的人工智能将在6月30日之前在聊天机器人竞技场上首次达到1500 ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.