The S&P 500 has declined over 5% month-to-date through March 27's close near 6,369, reflecting trader consensus on delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts after the March 18 FOMC held the fed funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Chair Powell's emphasis on sticky inflation risks, exacerbated by oil price surges from the protracted Iran conflict, has lifted 10-year Treasury yields and compressed equity valuations amid elevated volatility around 19-20%. Year-to-date returns have turned negative, reversing early 2026 gains, with broad sector weakness post-decision marking the worst FOMC day since 2024. Traders eye quarter-end flows, March PCE inflation release on March 28, and April nonfarm payrolls as pivotal catalysts before month-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$101,555 交易量
Apr 1, 2026
↓ 5700
1%
↓ 5600
1%
↓ 5500
1%
↓ 5350
1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
1%
↓ 4750
<1%
$101,555 交易量
↓ 5700
$860 交易量
1%
↓ 5600
$1,604 交易量
1%
↓ 5500
$31,361 交易量
1%
↓ 5350
$25,448 交易量
1%
↓ 5200
$1,028 交易量
1%
↓ 5000
$1,569 交易量
1%
↓ 4750
$39,684 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.The S&P 500 has declined over 5% month-to-date through March 27's close near 6,369, reflecting trader consensus on delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts after the March 18 FOMC held the fed funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Chair Powell's emphasis on sticky inflation risks, exacerbated by oil price surges from the protracted Iran conflict, has lifted 10-year Treasury yields and compressed equity valuations amid elevated volatility around 19-20%. Year-to-date returns have turned negative, reversing early 2026 gains, with broad sector weakness post-decision marking the worst FOMC day since 2024. Traders eye quarter-end flows, March PCE inflation release on March 28, and April nonfarm payrolls as pivotal catalysts before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
交易量
$101,555结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.The S&P 500 has declined over 5% month-to-date through March 27's close near 6,369, reflecting trader consensus on delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts after the March 18 FOMC held the fed funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Chair Powell's emphasis on sticky inflation risks, exacerbated by oil price surges from the protracted Iran conflict, has lifted 10-year Treasury yields and compressed equity valuations amid elevated volatility around 19-20%. Year-to-date returns have turned negative, reversing early 2026 gains, with broad sector weakness post-decision marking the worst FOMC day since 2024. Traders eye quarter-end flows, March PCE inflation release on March 28, and April nonfarm payrolls as pivotal catalysts before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
交易量
$101,555结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
The S&P 500 has declined over 5% month-to-date through March 27's close near 6,369, reflecting trader consensus on delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts after the March 18 FOMC held the fed funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Chair Powell's emphasis on sticky inflation risks, exacerbated by oil price surges from the protracted Iran conflict, has lifted 10-year Treasury yields and compressed equity valuations amid elevated volatility around 19-20%. Year-to-date returns have turned negative, reversing early 2026 gains, with broad sector weakness post-decision marking the worst FOMC day since 2024. Traders eye quarter-end flows, March PCE inflation release on March 28, and April nonfarm payrolls as pivotal catalysts before month-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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