Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly fears of U.S. military escalation against Iran and Houthi threats to oil supplies, have propelled crude prices over 4% higher, triggering a risk-off selloff in the S&P 500. The index closed March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.67% that day and over 6.8% for the month—its steepest monthly drop since 2022—extending a five-week losing streak amid rising Treasury yields and softer University of Michigan consumer sentiment at 53.3. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in aggregated capital reflects this uncertainty, with the benchmark now below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Resolution hinges on the March 31 close, ahead of next week's nonfarm payrolls release that could sway Fed rate cut expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$867,472 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ 7,500美元
<1%
↑ 7,300美元
<1%
↑ 7,200美元
<1%
↑ 7,100
<1%
↑ 7,000美元
<1%
↑ 6,900美元
<1%
↓ 6,300美元
73%
↓ 6,200美元
33%
↓ 6,000美元
5%
↓ 5,000美元
<1%
$867,472 交易量
↑ $8,000
$110,617 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,500美元
$43,362 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,300美元
$78,568 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,200美元
$6,563 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,100
$48,893 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,000美元
$26,773 交易量
<1%
↑ 6,900美元
$66,381 交易量
<1%
↓ 6,300美元
$146,169 交易量
73%
↓ 6,200美元
$39,666 交易量
33%
↓ 6,000美元
$56,180 交易量
5%
↓ 5,000美元
$170,971 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly fears of U.S. military escalation against Iran and Houthi threats to oil supplies, have propelled crude prices over 4% higher, triggering a risk-off selloff in the S&P 500. The index closed March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.67% that day and over 6.8% for the month—its steepest monthly drop since 2022—extending a five-week losing streak amid rising Treasury yields and softer University of Michigan consumer sentiment at 53.3. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in aggregated capital reflects this uncertainty, with the benchmark now below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Resolution hinges on the March 31 close, ahead of next week's nonfarm payrolls release that could sway Fed rate cut expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
交易量
$867,472结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly fears of U.S. military escalation against Iran and Houthi threats to oil supplies, have propelled crude prices over 4% higher, triggering a risk-off selloff in the S&P 500. The index closed March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.67% that day and over 6.8% for the month—its steepest monthly drop since 2022—extending a five-week losing streak amid rising Treasury yields and softer University of Michigan consumer sentiment at 53.3. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in aggregated capital reflects this uncertainty, with the benchmark now below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Resolution hinges on the March 31 close, ahead of next week's nonfarm payrolls release that could sway Fed rate cut expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$867,472结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly fears of U.S. military escalation against Iran and Houthi threats to oil supplies, have propelled crude prices over 4% higher, triggering a risk-off selloff in the S&P 500. The index closed March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.67% that day and over 6.8% for the month—its steepest monthly drop since 2022—extending a five-week losing streak amid rising Treasury yields and softer University of Michigan consumer sentiment at 53.3. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in aggregated capital reflects this uncertainty, with the benchmark now below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Resolution hinges on the March 31 close, ahead of next week's nonfarm payrolls release that could sway Fed rate cut expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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