The S&P 500 closed Friday March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.7% amid a five-week losing streak fueled by surging oil prices, Iran-related geopolitical risks, and ECB warnings on persistent inflation, pushing the Nasdaq into correction territory. This sharp pullback from mid-March highs near 6,700 reflects trader consensus pricing in the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with one dissenter favoring easing but dot plots signaling caution amid sticky core PCE readings. With only Monday March 30 and Tuesday March 31 trading sessions remaining before month-end resolution—based on the official NYSE close—quarter-end rebalancing flows and light economic data pose key swing factors, while S&P E-mini futures imply modest further downside to around 6,400.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$727,936 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ 7,500美元
<1%
↑ 7,300美元
<1%
↑ 7,200美元
1%
↑ 7,100
1%
↑ 7,000美元
1%
↑ 6,900美元
1%
↓ 6,300美元
49%
↓ 6,200美元
33%
↓ 6,000美元
4%
↓ 5,000美元
<1%
$727,936 交易量
↑ $8,000
$0 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,500美元
$42,806 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,300美元
$78,529 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,200美元
$5,485 交易量
1%
↑ 7,100
$44,116 交易量
1%
↑ 7,000美元
$25,548 交易量
1%
↑ 6,900美元
$65,447 交易量
1%
↓ 6,300美元
$137,751 交易量
49%
↓ 6,200美元
$37,060 交易量
33%
↓ 6,000美元
$52,018 交易量
4%
↓ 5,000美元
$165,846 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed Friday March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.7% amid a five-week losing streak fueled by surging oil prices, Iran-related geopolitical risks, and ECB warnings on persistent inflation, pushing the Nasdaq into correction territory. This sharp pullback from mid-March highs near 6,700 reflects trader consensus pricing in the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with one dissenter favoring easing but dot plots signaling caution amid sticky core PCE readings. With only Monday March 30 and Tuesday March 31 trading sessions remaining before month-end resolution—based on the official NYSE close—quarter-end rebalancing flows and light economic data pose key swing factors, while S&P E-mini futures imply modest further downside to around 6,400.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
交易量
$727,936结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed Friday March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.7% amid a five-week losing streak fueled by surging oil prices, Iran-related geopolitical risks, and ECB warnings on persistent inflation, pushing the Nasdaq into correction territory. This sharp pullback from mid-March highs near 6,700 reflects trader consensus pricing in the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with one dissenter favoring easing but dot plots signaling caution amid sticky core PCE readings. With only Monday March 30 and Tuesday March 31 trading sessions remaining before month-end resolution—based on the official NYSE close—quarter-end rebalancing flows and light economic data pose key swing factors, while S&P E-mini futures imply modest further downside to around 6,400.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$727,936结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed Friday March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.7% amid a five-week losing streak fueled by surging oil prices, Iran-related geopolitical risks, and ECB warnings on persistent inflation, pushing the Nasdaq into correction territory. This sharp pullback from mid-March highs near 6,700 reflects trader consensus pricing in the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with one dissenter favoring easing but dot plots signaling caution amid sticky core PCE readings. With only Monday March 30 and Tuesday March 31 trading sessions remaining before month-end resolution—based on the official NYSE close—quarter-end rebalancing flows and light economic data pose key swing factors, while S&P E-mini futures imply modest further downside to around 6,400.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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