Post-Q3 earnings beat with 5 million net subscriber adds and reaffirmed 70 million operating margin target by 2026, Polymarket traders have converged on a 32% implied probability for NFLX closing March 2026 in the $1,250-$1,500 range, reflecting optimism around ad-tier acceleration and password-sharing revenue recapture amid streaming dominance. Current share price near $748 implies a 1.5x appreciation requiring sustained 15%+ annual revenue growth, bolstered by live events like sports rights. Key risks include competition intensification and content cost inflation, with Q4 results in January 2025 and FCF trajectory as pivotal catalysts; historical bull runs suggest upside potential if macro tailwinds persist.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$175,972 交易量
Apr 1, 2026
↑ $455
<1%
↑ $368
1%
↑ $298
3%
↑ $228
1%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $140
2%
↑ 105美元
7%
↓ $70
2%
↓ 35美元
1%
↓ $0
<1%
$175,972 交易量
↑ $455
$40,939 交易量
<1%
↑ $368
$26,189 交易量
1%
↑ $298
$20,291 交易量
3%
↑ $228
$63,744 交易量
1%
↑ $175
$0 交易量
2%
↑ $140
$1,157 交易量
2%
↑ 105美元
$19,188 交易量
7%
↓ $70
$0 交易量
2%
↓ 35美元
$4,464 交易量
1%
↓ $0
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市场开放时间： Feb 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$175,972结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
交易量
$175,972结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Post-Q3 earnings beat with 5 million net subscriber adds and reaffirmed 70 million operating margin target by 2026, Polymarket traders have converged on a 32% implied probability for NFLX closing March 2026 in the $1,250-$1,500 range, reflecting optimism around ad-tier acceleration and password-sharing revenue recapture amid streaming dominance. Current share price near $748 implies a 1.5x appreciation requiring sustained 15%+ annual revenue growth, bolstered by live events like sports rights. Key risks include competition intensification and content cost inflation, with Q4 results in January 2025 and FCF trajectory as pivotal catalysts; historical bull runs suggest upside potential if macro tailwinds persist.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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