Polymarket traders show no clear consensus for June silver (SI) futures settlement, with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 14% for $50-$60, $70-$80, and $60-$70 ranges, reflecting heightened volatility after a sharp 12% monthly pullback to $73.33 amid USD strength and President Trump's tariff escalation rhetoric. Structural supply deficits—now in their sixth year—and surging industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics underpin bullish sentiment for $70+ outcomes, counterbalanced by bearish pressures from cooling inflation expectations and potential Fed policy shifts. Key differentiators include upcoming April nonfarm payrolls, FOMC minutes on May 7, and tariff implementation details, which could swing pricing toward sub-$50 if USD rallies further or above $90 on demand surges. Trader capital reveals a risk-off stance pricing in 45-55% uncertainty bands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于50至60美元 15.0%
70-80美元 14.5%
60-70美元 13.8%
低于50美元 13%
$450,098 交易量
$450,098 交易量
低于50美元
13%
50至60美元
15%
60-70美元
14%
70-80美元
14%
80-90美元
11%
$90-$100
12%
100-115美元
11%
>115美元
12%
50至60美元 15.0%
70-80美元 14.5%
60-70美元 13.8%
低于50美元 13%
$450,098 交易量
$450,098 交易量
低于50美元
13%
50至60美元
15%
60-70美元
14%
70-80美元
14%
80-90美元
11%
$90-$100
12%
100-115美元
11%
>115美元
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Polymarket traders show no clear consensus for June silver (SI) futures settlement, with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 14% for $50-$60, $70-$80, and $60-$70 ranges, reflecting heightened volatility after a sharp 12% monthly pullback to $73.33 amid USD strength and President Trump's tariff escalation rhetoric. Structural supply deficits—now in their sixth year—and surging industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics underpin bullish sentiment for $70+ outcomes, counterbalanced by bearish pressures from cooling inflation expectations and potential Fed policy shifts. Key differentiators include upcoming April nonfarm payrolls, FOMC minutes on May 7, and tariff implementation details, which could swing pricing toward sub-$50 if USD rallies further or above $90 on demand surges. Trader capital reveals a risk-off stance pricing in 45-55% uncertainty bands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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