Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in silver (SI) pricing for June 2026 settlement, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 11-15% across bins from <$50 to >$115, driven by recent volatility following a 148% surge in 2025 and a 12.6% pullback over the past month amid profit-taking and bearish technical signals like a forming bear flag near $73 spot and June futures levels. Strong industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics—bolstered by the Silver Institute's forecast of a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit—supports upside potential toward $80+, while macroeconomic headwinds including a resilient U.S. dollar, elevated Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy risks favor downside to sub-$60. Key differentiators include the April 15 COMEX delivery window, which could spark a short squeeze or expose structural weaknesses, alongside upcoming inflation data and nonfarm payrolls that may sway rate cut expectations and risk appetite through mid-June.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于50至60美元 15.0%
70-80美元 14.5%
60-70美元 13.8%
低于50美元 13%
$450,098 交易量
$450,098 交易量
2026-06-30
低于50美元
13%
50至60美元
15%
60-70美元
14%
70-80美元
14%
80-90美元
11%
$90-$100
12%
100-115美元
11%
>115美元
12%
50至60美元 15.0%
70-80美元 14.5%
60-70美元 13.8%
低于50美元 13%
$450,098 交易量
$450,098 交易量
2026-06-30
低于50美元
$60,659 交易量
13%
50至60美元
$50,423 交易量
15%
60-70美元
$50,680 交易量
14%
70-80美元
$35,882 交易量
14%
80-90美元
$22,964 交易量
11%
$90-$100
$31,659 交易量
12%
100-115美元
$39,147 交易量
11%
>115美元
$158,684 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in silver (SI) pricing for June 2026 settlement, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 11-15% across bins from <$50 to >$115, driven by recent volatility following a 148% surge in 2025 and a 12.6% pullback over the past month amid profit-taking and bearish technical signals like a forming bear flag near $73 spot and June futures levels. Strong industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics—bolstered by the Silver Institute's forecast of a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit—supports upside potential toward $80+, while macroeconomic headwinds including a resilient U.S. dollar, elevated Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy risks favor downside to sub-$60. Key differentiators include the April 15 COMEX delivery window, which could spark a short squeeze or expose structural weaknesses, alongside upcoming inflation data and nonfarm payrolls that may sway rate cut expectations and risk appetite through mid-June.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
交易量
$450,098结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in silver (SI) pricing for June 2026 settlement, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 11-15% across bins from <$50 to >$115, driven by recent volatility following a 148% surge in 2025 and a 12.6% pullback over the past month amid profit-taking and bearish technical signals like a forming bear flag near $73 spot and June futures levels. Strong industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics—bolstered by the Silver Institute's forecast of a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit—supports upside potential toward $80+, while macroeconomic headwinds including a resilient U.S. dollar, elevated Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy risks favor downside to sub-$60. Key differentiators include the April 15 COMEX delivery window, which could spark a short squeeze or expose structural weaknesses, alongside upcoming inflation data and nonfarm payrolls that may sway rate cut expectations and risk appetite through mid-June.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
交易量
$450,098结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in silver (SI) pricing for June 2026 settlement, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 11-15% across bins from <$50 to >$115, driven by recent volatility following a 148% surge in 2025 and a 12.6% pullback over the past month amid profit-taking and bearish technical signals like a forming bear flag near $73 spot and June futures levels. Strong industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics—bolstered by the Silver Institute's forecast of a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit—supports upside potential toward $80+, while macroeconomic headwinds including a resilient U.S. dollar, elevated Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy risks favor downside to sub-$60. Key differentiators include the April 15 COMEX delivery window, which could spark a short squeeze or expose structural weaknesses, alongside upcoming inflation data and nonfarm payrolls that may sway rate cut expectations and risk appetite through mid-June.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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