Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint screenings on April 3 at 67.2% implied probability, driven by recent daily volumes falling short of spring break projections amid ongoing disruptions. Official TSA data logged 2.71 million travelers on April 2 (Tuesday) and 2.36 million on April 1 (Monday), reflecting 10-12% year-over-year declines despite forecasts for record 2.8 million daily averages through April. Government shutdown fallout has exacerbated TSA staffing shortages, sparking widespread reports of multi-hour security lines and travel deterrence, tempering momentum even as hubs like Atlanta brace for peak Thursday volumes around 115,000 locally. A modest 6.7% bets on 3.0-3.2 million signal potential rebound bets, with official April 3 figures expected this morning to resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Number of TSA Passengers April 3?
Number of TSA Passengers April 3?
3.0M-3.2M 6.5%
3.6M-3.8M <1%
3.2M-3.4M <1%
3.4M-3.6M <1%
$5,798 交易量
$5,798 交易量
2026-04-03
<3.0M
67%
3.0M-3.2M
7%
3.2M-3.4M
1%
3.4M-3.6M
<1%
3.6M-3.8M
1%
>3.8M
<1%
3.0M-3.2M 6.5%
3.6M-3.8M <1%
3.2M-3.4M <1%
3.4M-3.6M <1%
$5,798 交易量
$5,798 交易量
2026-04-03
<3.0M
$3,341 交易量
67%
3.0M-3.2M
$330 交易量
7%
3.2M-3.4M
$488 交易量
1%
3.4M-3.6M
$488 交易量
<1%
3.6M-3.8M
$583 交易量
1%
>3.8M
$567 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint screenings on April 3 at 67.2% implied probability, driven by recent daily volumes falling short of spring break projections amid ongoing disruptions. Official TSA data logged 2.71 million travelers on April 2 (Tuesday) and 2.36 million on April 1 (Monday), reflecting 10-12% year-over-year declines despite forecasts for record 2.8 million daily averages through April. Government shutdown fallout has exacerbated TSA staffing shortages, sparking widespread reports of multi-hour security lines and travel deterrence, tempering momentum even as hubs like Atlanta brace for peak Thursday volumes around 115,000 locally. A modest 6.7% bets on 3.0-3.2 million signal potential rebound bets, with official April 3 figures expected this morning to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
交易量
$5,798结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ETThis market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint screenings on April 3 at 67.2% implied probability, driven by recent daily volumes falling short of spring break projections amid ongoing disruptions. Official TSA data logged 2.71 million travelers on April 2 (Tuesday) and 2.36 million on April 1 (Monday), reflecting 10-12% year-over-year declines despite forecasts for record 2.8 million daily averages through April. Government shutdown fallout has exacerbated TSA staffing shortages, sparking widespread reports of multi-hour security lines and travel deterrence, tempering momentum even as hubs like Atlanta brace for peak Thursday volumes around 115,000 locally. A modest 6.7% bets on 3.0-3.2 million signal potential rebound bets, with official April 3 figures expected this morning to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
交易量
$5,798结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ETTrader consensus heavily favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint screenings on April 3 at 67.2% implied probability, driven by recent daily volumes falling short of spring break projections amid ongoing disruptions. Official TSA data logged 2.71 million travelers on April 2 (Tuesday) and 2.36 million on April 1 (Monday), reflecting 10-12% year-over-year declines despite forecasts for record 2.8 million daily averages through April. Government shutdown fallout has exacerbated TSA staffing shortages, sparking widespread reports of multi-hour security lines and travel deterrence, tempering momentum even as hubs like Atlanta brace for peak Thursday volumes around 115,000 locally. A modest 6.7% bets on 3.0-3.2 million signal potential rebound bets, with official April 3 figures expected this morning to resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题