Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors under 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 3 at 69.2% implied probability, driven by recent daily throughputs remaining well below that threshold—April 2 recorded 2.71 million, April 1 hit 2.36 million, and March 31 logged 2.15 million—reflecting a post-spring break lull despite earlier peaks. Good Friday flight chaos, with over 2,300 disruptions nationwide, further dampens volumes, as seen in year-over-year declines of around 10-12%. The distant tail of 3.0M-3.2M at 6.8% accounts for potential lingering holiday travel, but higher brackets languish below 1% absent a surge. Official TSA data, typically released mornings, will resolve the market amid ongoing staffing strains and elevated spring demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Number of TSA Passengers April 3?
Number of TSA Passengers April 3?
3.0M-3.2M 6.7%
3.6M-3.8M <1%
3.2M-3.4M <1%
3.4M-3.6M <1%
$5,828 交易量
$5,828 交易量
2026-04-03
<3.0M
69%
3.0M-3.2M
7%
3.2M-3.4M
1%
3.4M-3.6M
<1%
3.6M-3.8M
1%
>3.8M
<1%
3.0M-3.2M 6.7%
3.6M-3.8M <1%
3.2M-3.4M <1%
3.4M-3.6M <1%
$5,828 交易量
$5,828 交易量
2026-04-03
<3.0M
$3,341 交易量
69%
3.0M-3.2M
$361 交易量
7%
3.2M-3.4M
$488 交易量
1%
3.4M-3.6M
$488 交易量
<1%
3.6M-3.8M
$583 交易量
1%
>3.8M
$567 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors under 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 3 at 69.2% implied probability, driven by recent daily throughputs remaining well below that threshold—April 2 recorded 2.71 million, April 1 hit 2.36 million, and March 31 logged 2.15 million—reflecting a post-spring break lull despite earlier peaks. Good Friday flight chaos, with over 2,300 disruptions nationwide, further dampens volumes, as seen in year-over-year declines of around 10-12%. The distant tail of 3.0M-3.2M at 6.8% accounts for potential lingering holiday travel, but higher brackets languish below 1% absent a surge. Official TSA data, typically released mornings, will resolve the market amid ongoing staffing strains and elevated spring demand.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
交易量
$5,828结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ETThis market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors under 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 3 at 69.2% implied probability, driven by recent daily throughputs remaining well below that threshold—April 2 recorded 2.71 million, April 1 hit 2.36 million, and March 31 logged 2.15 million—reflecting a post-spring break lull despite earlier peaks. Good Friday flight chaos, with over 2,300 disruptions nationwide, further dampens volumes, as seen in year-over-year declines of around 10-12%. The distant tail of 3.0M-3.2M at 6.8% accounts for potential lingering holiday travel, but higher brackets languish below 1% absent a surge. Official TSA data, typically released mornings, will resolve the market amid ongoing staffing strains and elevated spring demand.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
交易量
$5,828结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors under 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 3 at 69.2% implied probability, driven by recent daily throughputs remaining well below that threshold—April 2 recorded 2.71 million, April 1 hit 2.36 million, and March 31 logged 2.15 million—reflecting a post-spring break lull despite earlier peaks. Good Friday flight chaos, with over 2,300 disruptions nationwide, further dampens volumes, as seen in year-over-year declines of around 10-12%. The distant tail of 3.0M-3.2M at 6.8% accounts for potential lingering holiday travel, but higher brackets languish below 1% absent a surge. Official TSA data, typically released mornings, will resolve the market amid ongoing staffing strains and elevated spring demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题