MetService's latest forecast, updated this morning, pins Wellington's highest temperature at 17°C today under a building high pressure ridge, with southerlies easing after a cloudy start and temperatures currently tracking at 15.6°C from Kelburn observations. This trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects strong model agreement and yesterday's nearby 17.3°C high, aligning with April climatology where maxima average 17°C amid cool southerly airflow. Realistic challenges include prolonged morning cloud capping at 16°C or unexpected afternoon clearing with light winds pushing to 18°C, though airport hourly readings through evening will confirm the outcome per official resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月1日惠灵顿的最高温度？
4月1日惠灵顿的最高温度？
17°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
16°C <1%
$247,890 交易量
$247,890 交易量
2026-04-01
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
17°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
16°C <1%
$247,890 交易量
$247,890 交易量
2026-04-01
16°C
$58,353 交易量
<1%
17°C
$21,965 交易量
100%
18°C
$17,081 交易量
<1%
19°C
$17,150 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$19,381 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, updated this morning, pins Wellington's highest temperature at 17°C today under a building high pressure ridge, with southerlies easing after a cloudy start and temperatures currently tracking at 15.6°C from Kelburn observations. This trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects strong model agreement and yesterday's nearby 17.3°C high, aligning with April climatology where maxima average 17°C amid cool southerly airflow. Realistic challenges include prolonged morning cloud capping at 16°C or unexpected afternoon clearing with light winds pushing to 18°C, though airport hourly readings through evening will confirm the outcome per official resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
交易量
$247,890结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, updated this morning, pins Wellington's highest temperature at 17°C today under a building high pressure ridge, with southerlies easing after a cloudy start and temperatures currently tracking at 15.6°C from Kelburn observations. This trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects strong model agreement and yesterday's nearby 17.3°C high, aligning with April climatology where maxima average 17°C amid cool southerly airflow. Realistic challenges include prolonged morning cloud capping at 16°C or unexpected afternoon clearing with light winds pushing to 18°C, though airport hourly readings through evening will confirm the outcome per official resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$247,890结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ETMetService's latest forecast, updated this morning, pins Wellington's highest temperature at 17°C today under a building high pressure ridge, with southerlies easing after a cloudy start and temperatures currently tracking at 15.6°C from Kelburn observations. This trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects strong model agreement and yesterday's nearby 17.3°C high, aligning with April climatology where maxima average 17°C amid cool southerly airflow. Realistic challenges include prolonged morning cloud capping at 16°C or unexpected afternoon clearing with light winds pushing to 18°C, though airport hourly readings through evening will confirm the outcome per official resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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