Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for 25°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 27, driven by verified observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations recording a midday peak of exactly 25°C under mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipated highs in the 24-26°C range, aligning with historical March averages of 23-25°C for the coastal city, influenced by seasonal warming and neutral ENSO patterns. Post-event data verification has locked in this outcome, with negligible room for revision barring anomalous sensor recalibrations—extremely rare for finalized daily records. No major upcoming updates expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 27?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 27?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$423,707 交易量
$423,707 交易量
Mar 27, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$423,707 交易量
$423,707 交易量
Mar 27, 2026
21°C or below
$0 交易量
No
22°C
$9,548 交易量
No
23°C
$9,446 交易量
No
24°C
$33,671 交易量
No
25°C
$122,013 交易量
Yes
26°C
$17,643 交易量
No
27°C
$51,453 交易量
No
28°C
$15,272 交易量
No
29°C
$81,036 交易量
No
30°C
$40,706 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$42,921 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for 25°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 27, driven by verified observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations recording a midday peak of exactly 25°C under mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipated highs in the 24-26°C range, aligning with historical March averages of 23-25°C for the coastal city, influenced by seasonal warming and neutral ENSO patterns. Post-event data verification has locked in this outcome, with negligible room for revision barring anomalous sensor recalibrations—extremely rare for finalized daily records. No major upcoming updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
交易量
$423,707结束日期
Mar 27, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for 25°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 27, driven by verified observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations recording a midday peak of exactly 25°C under mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipated highs in the 24-26°C range, aligning with historical March averages of 23-25°C for the coastal city, influenced by seasonal warming and neutral ENSO patterns. Post-event data verification has locked in this outcome, with negligible room for revision barring anomalous sensor recalibrations—extremely rare for finalized daily records. No major upcoming updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$423,707结束日期
Mar 27, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for 25°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 27, driven by verified observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations recording a midday peak of exactly 25°C under mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipated highs in the 24-26°C range, aligning with historical March averages of 23-25°C for the coastal city, influenced by seasonal warming and neutral ENSO patterns. Post-event data verification has locked in this outcome, with negligible room for revision barring anomalous sensor recalibrations—extremely rare for finalized daily records. No major upcoming updates expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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