Observed peak temperatures at Shanghai's official monitoring stations, including Xujiahui and Hongqiao Airport, reached 22°C around 2:00 p.m. local time on March 30, driving trader consensus to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome per Polymarket odds. Hourly data from Pudong International Airport (ZSPD) and Hongqiao confirm highs of 72–73°F (22–22.8°C) under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and residual morning mist transitioning to clearer conditions, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting 20–22°C amid persistent warm air advection over eastern China—well above the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C. With the diurnal cycle's solar maximum passed and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-afternoon surge from unforeseen clear skies or a post-hoc revision to auxiliary station data exceeding 23°C, scenarios precluded by current declining trends and historical measurement stability. Final China Meteorological Administration tallies expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$305,764 交易量
$305,764 交易量
2026-03-30
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$305,764 交易量
$305,764 交易量
2026-03-30
13°C or below
$2,225 交易量
No
14°C
$4,230 交易量
No
15°C
$23,220 交易量
No
16°C
$31,426 交易量
No
17°C
$24,390 交易量
No
18°C
$14,387 交易量
No
19°C
$29,153 交易量
No
20°C
$22,681 交易量
No
21°C
$29,655 交易量
No
22°C
$45,343 交易量
Yes
23°C or higher
$79,053 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed peak temperatures at Shanghai's official monitoring stations, including Xujiahui and Hongqiao Airport, reached 22°C around 2:00 p.m. local time on March 30, driving trader consensus to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome per Polymarket odds. Hourly data from Pudong International Airport (ZSPD) and Hongqiao confirm highs of 72–73°F (22–22.8°C) under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and residual morning mist transitioning to clearer conditions, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting 20–22°C amid persistent warm air advection over eastern China—well above the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C. With the diurnal cycle's solar maximum passed and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-afternoon surge from unforeseen clear skies or a post-hoc revision to auxiliary station data exceeding 23°C, scenarios precluded by current declining trends and historical measurement stability. Final China Meteorological Administration tallies expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
交易量
$305,764结束日期
2026-03-30市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed peak temperatures at Shanghai's official monitoring stations, including Xujiahui and Hongqiao Airport, reached 22°C around 2:00 p.m. local time on March 30, driving trader consensus to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome per Polymarket odds. Hourly data from Pudong International Airport (ZSPD) and Hongqiao confirm highs of 72–73°F (22–22.8°C) under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and residual morning mist transitioning to clearer conditions, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting 20–22°C amid persistent warm air advection over eastern China—well above the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C. With the diurnal cycle's solar maximum passed and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-afternoon surge from unforeseen clear skies or a post-hoc revision to auxiliary station data exceeding 23°C, scenarios precluded by current declining trends and historical measurement stability. Final China Meteorological Administration tallies expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$305,764结束日期
2026-03-30市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Observed peak temperatures at Shanghai's official monitoring stations, including Xujiahui and Hongqiao Airport, reached 22°C around 2:00 p.m. local time on March 30, driving trader consensus to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome per Polymarket odds. Hourly data from Pudong International Airport (ZSPD) and Hongqiao confirm highs of 72–73°F (22–22.8°C) under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and residual morning mist transitioning to clearer conditions, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting 20–22°C amid persistent warm air advection over eastern China—well above the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C. With the diurnal cycle's solar maximum passed and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-afternoon surge from unforeseen clear skies or a post-hoc revision to auxiliary station data exceeding 23°C, scenarios precluded by current declining trends and historical measurement stability. Final China Meteorological Administration tallies expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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