Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 13–16°C driven by divergent global forecast models. The Korea Meteorological Administration's March 30 mid-term update projects a 16°C high under mostly cloudy skies with 30% precipitation chance, boosting odds for warmer outcomes, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles lean toward 12–14°C amid potential northerly winds and frontal cloud bands. Early April climatology shows average highs near 14°C, with variability from jet stream troughs allowing swings of 3–5°C; urban heat island effects are minimal at official stations. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud evolution and boundary layer stability. Watch KMA's April 1 short-range update for refined guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
15°C 24%
16°C or higher 20.0%
13°C 18%
14°C 18%
$52,304 交易量
$52,304 交易量
2026-04-02
6°C or below
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
10%
12°C
17%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
24%
16°C or higher
20%
15°C 24%
16°C or higher 20.0%
13°C 18%
14°C 18%
$52,304 交易量
$52,304 交易量
2026-04-02
6°C or below
$19,722 交易量
1%
7°C
$3,113 交易量
<1%
8°C
$3,341 交易量
1%
9°C
$4,477 交易量
1%
10°C
$3,612 交易量
2%
11°C
$2,821 交易量
10%
12°C
$2,209 交易量
17%
13°C
$2,782 交易量
18%
14°C
$1,794 交易量
18%
15°C
$2,633 交易量
24%
16°C or higher
$5,926 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 13–16°C driven by divergent global forecast models. The Korea Meteorological Administration's March 30 mid-term update projects a 16°C high under mostly cloudy skies with 30% precipitation chance, boosting odds for warmer outcomes, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles lean toward 12–14°C amid potential northerly winds and frontal cloud bands. Early April climatology shows average highs near 14°C, with variability from jet stream troughs allowing swings of 3–5°C; urban heat island effects are minimal at official stations. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud evolution and boundary layer stability. Watch KMA's April 1 short-range update for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
交易量
$52,304结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 13–16°C driven by divergent global forecast models. The Korea Meteorological Administration's March 30 mid-term update projects a 16°C high under mostly cloudy skies with 30% precipitation chance, boosting odds for warmer outcomes, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles lean toward 12–14°C amid potential northerly winds and frontal cloud bands. Early April climatology shows average highs near 14°C, with variability from jet stream troughs allowing swings of 3–5°C; urban heat island effects are minimal at official stations. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud evolution and boundary layer stability. Watch KMA's April 1 short-range update for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$52,304结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 13–16°C driven by divergent global forecast models. The Korea Meteorological Administration's March 30 mid-term update projects a 16°C high under mostly cloudy skies with 30% precipitation chance, boosting odds for warmer outcomes, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles lean toward 12–14°C amid potential northerly winds and frontal cloud bands. Early April climatology shows average highs near 14°C, with variability from jet stream troughs allowing swings of 3–5°C; urban heat island effects are minimal at official stations. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud evolution and boundary layer stability. Watch KMA's April 1 short-range update for refined guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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