Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport—the market's official resolution station—have recorded a daily maximum of 14°C so far on April 1, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and temperatures peaking midday before a typical diurnal decline. Current readings hover around 13–14°C in the afternoon, aligning with short-range forecast models showing no significant warming potential amid persistent cloud cover and seasonal spring patterns in the region. Trader consensus reflects this data-driven certainty, with skin-in-the-game bets pricing 14°C at 99.8%. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing, stronger insolation, and southerly winds before midnight, though model ensembles deem this improbable given current atmospheric stability. Final KMA data release expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
12°C <1%
$373,149 交易量
$373,149 交易量
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
12°C <1%
$373,149 交易量
$373,149 交易量
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport—the market's official resolution station—have recorded a daily maximum of 14°C so far on April 1, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and temperatures peaking midday before a typical diurnal decline. Current readings hover around 13–14°C in the afternoon, aligning with short-range forecast models showing no significant warming potential amid persistent cloud cover and seasonal spring patterns in the region. Trader consensus reflects this data-driven certainty, with skin-in-the-game bets pricing 14°C at 99.8%. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing, stronger insolation, and southerly winds before midnight, though model ensembles deem this improbable given current atmospheric stability. Final KMA data release expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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