Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 15°C (44%) or 16°C (36%) in Milan on March 27, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which show temperatures peaking in that narrow range amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Divergence between these closely matched outcomes stems from model uncertainty over diurnal mixing and low-level moisture, with ECMWF slightly cooler at 15°C and GFS leaning warmer toward 16°C due to better solar insolation in runs updated within the last 24 hours. Historical March highs in Milan average 14-15°C, but current 500 hPa geopotential height patterns support modest above-normal warmth. Traders await final hourly guidance from the Italian Aeronautica Militare service before resolution, as small shifts in boundary layer conditions could tip the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 27?
15°C 45%
16°C 36%
17°C 11%
14°C 6%
$42,480 交易量
$42,480 交易量
Mar 27, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
45%
16°C
36%
17°C
11%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 45%
16°C 36%
17°C 11%
14°C 6%
$42,480 交易量
$42,480 交易量
Mar 27, 2026
8°C or below
$4,005 交易量
<1%
10°C
$1,982 交易量
<1%
11°C
$8,112 交易量
<1%
12°C
$4,272 交易量
1%
13°C
$3,479 交易量
2%
14°C
$2,940 交易量
6%
15°C
$2,529 交易量
45%
16°C
$3,802 交易量
36%
17°C
$4,950 交易量
11%
18°C or higher
$4,428 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 15°C (44%) or 16°C (36%) in Milan on March 27, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which show temperatures peaking in that narrow range amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Divergence between these closely matched outcomes stems from model uncertainty over diurnal mixing and low-level moisture, with ECMWF slightly cooler at 15°C and GFS leaning warmer toward 16°C due to better solar insolation in runs updated within the last 24 hours. Historical March highs in Milan average 14-15°C, but current 500 hPa geopotential height patterns support modest above-normal warmth. Traders await final hourly guidance from the Italian Aeronautica Militare service before resolution, as small shifts in boundary layer conditions could tip the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$42,480结束日期
Mar 27, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 15°C (44%) or 16°C (36%) in Milan on March 27, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which show temperatures peaking in that narrow range amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Divergence between these closely matched outcomes stems from model uncertainty over diurnal mixing and low-level moisture, with ECMWF slightly cooler at 15°C and GFS leaning warmer toward 16°C due to better solar insolation in runs updated within the last 24 hours. Historical March highs in Milan average 14-15°C, but current 500 hPa geopotential height patterns support modest above-normal warmth. Traders await final hourly guidance from the Italian Aeronautica Militare service before resolution, as small shifts in boundary layer conditions could tip the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$42,480结束日期
Mar 27, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 15°C (44%) or 16°C (36%) in Milan on March 27, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which show temperatures peaking in that narrow range amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Divergence between these closely matched outcomes stems from model uncertainty over diurnal mixing and low-level moisture, with ECMWF slightly cooler at 15°C and GFS leaning warmer toward 16°C due to better solar insolation in runs updated within the last 24 hours. Historical March highs in Milan average 14-15°C, but current 500 hPa geopotential height patterns support modest above-normal warmth. Traders await final hourly guidance from the Italian Aeronautica Militare service before resolution, as small shifts in boundary layer conditions could tip the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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