Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Miami's highest temperature on March 27 at 82-83°F, matching the market's leading 50.5% implied probability as traders price in consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensemble models updated within the last 24 hours. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over Florida ensures mostly sunny skies and light winds ideal for peak daytime heating, with recent observed highs in the low 80s this week reinforcing the positioning. Elevated sea surface temperatures around South Florida, 1-2°F above March climatological norms (average highs ~79°F), provide additional warmth potential. Uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea breeze development moderating peaks toward 80-81°F (30% odds); evening model runs and NWS updates will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 50%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 3.5%
$54,703 交易量
$54,703 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 50%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 3.5%
$54,703 交易量
$54,703 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Miami's highest temperature on March 27 at 82-83°F, matching the market's leading 50.5% implied probability as traders price in consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensemble models updated within the last 24 hours. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over Florida ensures mostly sunny skies and light winds ideal for peak daytime heating, with recent observed highs in the low 80s this week reinforcing the positioning. Elevated sea surface temperatures around South Florida, 1-2°F above March climatological norms (average highs ~79°F), provide additional warmth potential. Uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea breeze development moderating peaks toward 80-81°F (30% odds); evening model runs and NWS updates will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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