Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 78-81°F highs at Miami International Airport today, with 78-79°F and 80-81°F each implying near-40% probabilities, reflecting tight clustering in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF around 79-80°F. Persistent moderate easterly winds—15-20 mph from the Atlantic—promote onshore flow that moderates daytime heating despite mostly sunny skies and highs starting from overnight lows near 71°F, keeping temperatures slightly below the April 1 climatological normal of 83°F. Scientific uncertainty stems from variable sea breeze timing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds, which could cap peaks at 78°F or allow slight inland warming to 81°F; real-time observations and late-day updates will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
80-81°F 41%
78-79°F 40%
82-83°F 6%
76-77°F 4.8%
$140,118 交易量
$140,118 交易量
73°F或以下
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 41%
78-79°F 40%
82-83°F 6%
76-77°F 4.8%
$140,118 交易量
$140,118 交易量
73°F或以下
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 78-81°F highs at Miami International Airport today, with 78-79°F and 80-81°F each implying near-40% probabilities, reflecting tight clustering in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF around 79-80°F. Persistent moderate easterly winds—15-20 mph from the Atlantic—promote onshore flow that moderates daytime heating despite mostly sunny skies and highs starting from overnight lows near 71°F, keeping temperatures slightly below the April 1 climatological normal of 83°F. Scientific uncertainty stems from variable sea breeze timing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds, which could cap peaks at 78°F or allow slight inland warming to 81°F; real-time observations and late-day updates will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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