Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high temperature of 80-81°F at 50.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service model guidance projecting a peak around this range under partly cloudy skies, light onshore breezes, and moderating sea breeze effects that cap afternoon heating. This aligns closely with early April climatology, where daily highs average 81°F based on decades of observations at Miami International Airport, rarely dipping below 76°F or surpassing 88°F absent unusual synoptic patterns. The recent transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions, as confirmed by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, supports these seasonal norms without amplifying extremes like heat waves or cool fronts. Hourly updates from official NWS stations today will refine the outcome amid minimal uncertainty from cloud cover variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
80-81°F 51%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 14%
84-85°F 5.9%
$128,595 交易量
$128,595 交易量
2026-04-01
73°F或以下
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
51%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 51%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 14%
84-85°F 5.9%
$128,595 交易量
$128,595 交易量
2026-04-01
73°F或以下
$25,436 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$10,232 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$14,663 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$8,761 交易量
28%
80-81°F
$9,229 交易量
51%
82-83°F
$10,410 交易量
14%
84-85°F
$8,502 交易量
6%
86-87°F
$5,991 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$6,967 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$8,111 交易量
1%
92°F or higher
$20,294 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high temperature of 80-81°F at 50.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service model guidance projecting a peak around this range under partly cloudy skies, light onshore breezes, and moderating sea breeze effects that cap afternoon heating. This aligns closely with early April climatology, where daily highs average 81°F based on decades of observations at Miami International Airport, rarely dipping below 76°F or surpassing 88°F absent unusual synoptic patterns. The recent transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions, as confirmed by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, supports these seasonal norms without amplifying extremes like heat waves or cool fronts. Hourly updates from official NWS stations today will refine the outcome amid minimal uncertainty from cloud cover variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
交易量
$128,595结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high temperature of 80-81°F at 50.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service model guidance projecting a peak around this range under partly cloudy skies, light onshore breezes, and moderating sea breeze effects that cap afternoon heating. This aligns closely with early April climatology, where daily highs average 81°F based on decades of observations at Miami International Airport, rarely dipping below 76°F or surpassing 88°F absent unusual synoptic patterns. The recent transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions, as confirmed by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, supports these seasonal norms without amplifying extremes like heat waves or cool fronts. Hourly updates from official NWS stations today will refine the outcome amid minimal uncertainty from cloud cover variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$128,595结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high temperature of 80-81°F at 50.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service model guidance projecting a peak around this range under partly cloudy skies, light onshore breezes, and moderating sea breeze effects that cap afternoon heating. This aligns closely with early April climatology, where daily highs average 81°F based on decades of observations at Miami International Airport, rarely dipping below 76°F or surpassing 88°F absent unusual synoptic patterns. The recent transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions, as confirmed by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, supports these seasonal norms without amplifying extremes like heat waves or cool fronts. Hourly updates from official NWS stations today will refine the outcome amid minimal uncertainty from cloud cover variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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