Met Office observations from London stations, including central Greater London and Heathrow Airport, confirm the highest temperature on March 30, 2026, reached 12°C around 3-4 p.m. local time, with provisional data updated by late afternoon amid overcast skies and northwest winds limiting solar heating. This aligns with forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office, which predicted maxima in the 11-13°C range under a cool northerly airflow pattern typical for late March, cooler than mid-month peaks near 19-20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 12°C reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with authoritative measurements. Realistic challenges would require post hoc quality control revisions uncovering a higher unlogged peak, though such adjustments are rare for well-monitored urban sites; final daily extremes report expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月30日伦敦气温最高?
3月30日伦敦气温最高?
12°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$297,148 交易量
$297,148 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
12°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$297,148 交易量
$297,148 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Met Office observations from London stations, including central Greater London and Heathrow Airport, confirm the highest temperature on March 30, 2026, reached 12°C around 3-4 p.m. local time, with provisional data updated by late afternoon amid overcast skies and northwest winds limiting solar heating. This aligns with forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office, which predicted maxima in the 11-13°C range under a cool northerly airflow pattern typical for late March, cooler than mid-month peaks near 19-20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 12°C reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with authoritative measurements. Realistic challenges would require post hoc quality control revisions uncovering a higher unlogged peak, though such adjustments are rare for well-monitored urban sites; final daily extremes report expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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