Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 9°C as the highest temperature in London on March 25 at 100% implied probability, driven by provisional data from the Met Office's official monitoring stations, including Heathrow, which recorded a daytime maximum of 9°C amid cloudy, cool conditions with light winds and no significant solar heating. This aligns with broader UK weather patterns featuring a weak high-pressure ridge suppressing temperatures below seasonal averages of 11–12°C. Model forecasts from the past week, including ECMWF and UKMO ensembles, accurately predicted subdued maxima due to persistent overcast skies and Atlantic moisture inflow. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could arise from rare data revisions if secondary stations report higher verified peaks before final resolution; no such outliers have emerged in initial quality-controlled observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月25日伦敦气温最高？
3月25日伦敦气温最高？
9°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 25, 2026
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或更高
否
9°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 25, 2026
5°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
6°C
$0 交易量
否
7°C
$0 交易量
否
8°C
$0 交易量
否
9°C
$0 交易量
是
10°C
$0 交易量
否
11°C
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$0 交易量
否
13°C
$0 交易量
否
14°C
$0 交易量
否
15°C或更高
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 9°C as the highest temperature in London on March 25 at 100% implied probability, driven by provisional data from the Met Office's official monitoring stations, including Heathrow, which recorded a daytime maximum of 9°C amid cloudy, cool conditions with light winds and no significant solar heating. This aligns with broader UK weather patterns featuring a weak high-pressure ridge suppressing temperatures below seasonal averages of 11–12°C. Model forecasts from the past week, including ECMWF and UKMO ensembles, accurately predicted subdued maxima due to persistent overcast skies and Atlantic moisture inflow. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could arise from rare data revisions if secondary stations report higher verified peaks before final resolution; no such outliers have emerged in initial quality-controlled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 25, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 9°C as the highest temperature in London on March 25 at 100% implied probability, driven by provisional data from the Met Office's official monitoring stations, including Heathrow, which recorded a daytime maximum of 9°C amid cloudy, cool conditions with light winds and no significant solar heating. This aligns with broader UK weather patterns featuring a weak high-pressure ridge suppressing temperatures below seasonal averages of 11–12°C. Model forecasts from the past week, including ECMWF and UKMO ensembles, accurately predicted subdued maxima due to persistent overcast skies and Atlantic moisture inflow. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could arise from rare data revisions if secondary stations report higher verified peaks before final resolution; no such outliers have emerged in initial quality-controlled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 25, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 9°C as the highest temperature in London on March 25 at 100% implied probability, driven by provisional data from the Met Office's official monitoring stations, including Heathrow, which recorded a daytime maximum of 9°C amid cloudy, cool conditions with light winds and no significant solar heating. This aligns with broader UK weather patterns featuring a weak high-pressure ridge suppressing temperatures below seasonal averages of 11–12°C. Model forecasts from the past week, including ECMWF and UKMO ensembles, accurately predicted subdued maxima due to persistent overcast skies and Atlantic moisture inflow. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could arise from rare data revisions if secondary stations report higher verified peaks before final resolution; no such outliers have emerged in initial quality-controlled observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题